Low interest rates - including mortgages are sticking around for a while. We are being told there is money everywhere. There is plenty of welfare for corporations.
It sure sounds like cash is everywhere. So why are so many individuals, businesses, and corporate giants going broke? And American home foreclosures just keep rising.
Billions of dollars - borrowed and printed - have been injected then bottled up behind a dam that is weakening and ready to burst. The people in charge do not seem able to figure out how to regulate the flow as in a proper dam. The obligation for future generations is astonishing. Dams cannot hold higher levels that their design though. When the hole finally breaks through the result is - inflation that rivals 3rd world countries.
Though some money is starting to trickle out it still seems to dry up before it gets to producers, workers, and spenders. So capitalism as we like it is just plain anemic. Underemployed folks, like Tom Persinger who now makes 24k/yr as a nurses aid, have have pulled significant power from the economy. He used to make 60k/yr for GM before they got bailed out. He is relatively lucky though. Just under one out of ten Americans have no job at all so they cannot contribute earnings so that others have jobs. But the government is also manipulating statistics. Prior to the Clinton administration that 10% would have been closer to 21% unemployment which certainly echoes the Great Depression.
Every state government and most large cities are struggling to stay afloat. Temporary shutdowns, IOU's, and tax hikes - which as you know is counter productive in a recession are rampant. Even the security of working for the government at any level except the federal, is no longer the cushy job it once was.
It seems that it does not matter where you put your money. Though the free fall of real estate appears to have braked, homebuyers are still having a tough time getting mortgage money. And the equities market is still a roller coaster ride that is just too thrilling for many investors.
A delicious irony is apparent when you consider that the economies of Germany and France my be recovering faster than America. By any measure they have long been tipping to left with socialism being way more acceptible, for now at least, than the USA. And those cynical professional bond traders are saying that the Fed is ensuring low interest rates by cranking out more money to meet our mind boggling present and future political obligations.
Bankers have decisions to make. Up until now the very large ones have chosen to keep the money you and I gave them to stimulate the economy as they work out their mergers and take overs. They are acting like bankers. Cannot really blame them because they know that during a recession assets take a while to appreciate and there are a lot of people out of work.
The tragic consequence of all of this gross mismanagement is what third world countries usually experience - very, very high inflation. The government has borrowed to oblivion and the money is being printed with abandon. The banks must eventually let that money go. When is does we will be paying dearly.
My Market Friend is Paul Kluskowskis's blog. It is chock-a-block with up-to-date financial, economic, and market news. He is a managing financial advisorat T/R Financial Management Group. He has been in the business for over 10 years and writes extensively with many articles and three ebooks to his credit. Paul also manages the PINGP Work Control Center Mgr at Xcel Energy. You can sign up for his financial advice and newletter at My Market Friend
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| NASDAQ | 2839.08 | |||||||
| S&P 500 | 1316.63 | |||||||
| ^RUT | 759.63 | |||||||
| TVIX | 9.10 | |||||||
| FCEL | 0.9899 | |||||||
Stocks Above I Currently Hold In My Own Trading Account: TVIX, FCEL
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Guerilla Trader Quote
“All Warfare is about Deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces; we must seem inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.... If your opponent is choleric temper, seek to IRRITATE him. Pretend to be Weak, That he may grow ARROGANT.”
by Sun Tzu
“All Warfare is about Deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces; we must seem inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.... If your opponent is choleric temper, seek to IRRITATE him. Pretend to be Weak, That he may grow ARROGANT.”
by Sun Tzu
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