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Sidelines Rating For Trading Next Week

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The S&P 500 has broken its weak uptrend channel and is now in a sideways channel between 2150 and 2195.

The falling money flow is a big warning sign for markets.

I don’t see a catalyst that is going to take the market through 2195 right now. The S&P 500 has recently hit record (Read More….)

Shiller PE Ratio Hits 2007 Crash High

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The Shiller P/E ratio has hit its highest level since October 2007 and the start of the last bear market.

The last time the Shiller P/E was above 27 was in October 2007, the start of the last bear market.

Robert Shiller, the creator of the Shiller P/E ratio, warns people not to use (Read More….)

Japanese 10 Year Bond Not Canary In Coal Mine

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Peter Boockvar with The Lindsey Group was on CNBC today telling traders to keep an eye on Japan’s 10-year bonds for U.S. stock market trading signals.

The buzz on Twitter is this chart that seems to show U.S. bond markets following Japan’s 10-year bond yield chart.

The idea that if interest rates go (Read More….)

Civil Unrest In Milwaukee As Blacks Hunt Whites

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I warned about the rising civil unrest and the dangerous racist group Black Lives Matter here. Any police-involved shooting of an African-American prompts a fast mobilization of communists and socialists to the area for the destruction of businesses and private property.

Here is a video of the Black Lives Matter group targeting “white people” in (Read More….)

BOE Auction Signaling the Global Failure of QE

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The BOE restarted its QE bond purchases last week, or at least it tried to. The BOE could not find enough bonds to buy.

The first auction on Monday went fine but on Tuesday, the BOE fell £52 million short of its target to buy £1.17 billion in long-dated government debt.

What happened (Read More….)

The Concentration of Wealth Factor In Markets and Retail Sales

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The internet is buzzing about the latest Retail Sales report that shows a gradual slowdown in consumer spending. The buzz centers around the question of how can the S&P 500 be hitting all-time highs when retail sales continue to trend downward?

Some are speculating that the Democrat and Republican Establishments are working together to (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast Show For Week of August 8 2016

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The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs Friday after July’s strong jobs report of 255K. So much for the idea that the economy is slowing down and that the labor market only gets worse from here! I feel like we are getting the Bear slowly beaten out of us.

Next Friday, August 12, (Read More….)

Earnings Recessions Are Economic Recessions

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The mainstream financial media has created a new classification, an “earnings recession”. Earnings have been falling among S&P 500 companies for about a year now to which we assign +1 point to the Bears in the stock market prediction algorithm.

Folks, there is no such thing as an “earnings recession”. There is only a (Read More….)