Category: US Economy

Has the Federal Reserve Really Gone Crazy?

10/14/2018

Trump told a reporter, “I think the Fed is uh … making a mistake. They’re so tight. I think the Fed has gone crazy.” I know left-leaning ego-maniacs like CNBC’s Steve Liesman are rushing to the defense of the Federal Reserve and are accusing the President of attacking the credibility of the Fed. But the […]

Trend Alert: Massive China Sabotage Of U.S. Computers Revealed

10/4/2018

China is our friend, most favored nation, they said. In what could end up being the worse security breach in human history, China has infiltrated 90 percent of the world’s PCs. Any U.S. corporation that used offshoring and outsource for manufacturing in China likely has a hardware back door in it. China makes a whopping […]

FOMC Word Cloud

Three Reasons Why Wednesday’s FOMC Rate Hike Is a Mistake

09/25/2018

The market is pricing in a 100% probability of a quarter point rate hike on Wednesday by the Federal Reserve. This will be the third quarter point rate hike this year. The Fed has already hiked rates too fast IMO. Let’s look at the fundamental economic data and three reasons why the Fed should immediately […]

Market Trend Alert: Peak US Auto Sales

09/15/2018

Market trend alert: peak US auto sales. I’m predicting that we have hit peak US auto sales for this economic cycle unless the Fed immediately stops hiking rates. For years auto sales have been rising under a low interest rate environment. Instead of auto sales being in a consolidation pattern, I believe it’s a major […]

New home sales completed seasonally falls in July 2018.

Tracking Economic Stress From Rising Rates

09/3/2018

We are tracking signs of economic stress caused by rising interest rates and if the increasing signs of stress are systemic. This biggest point of increasing economic stress to the economy from rising rates is in the financing of big ticket items like houses. The high price of homes is restricting activity, keeping buyers on […]

US Total Public Debt chart

Everyone Is So Happy Economy Is So Great… NOT!

09/2/2018

Everyone is talking about how strong the US economy is but I call bullsh*t. We are running a nearly $100 billion deficit each month in the US. That comes out to $1.2 trillion a year and its rising fast because of new spending and because interest rates are going up. In fact, the interest payment […]

Fred average home sales price

Housing Market Setting Stage For Next Economic Downturn

08/24/2018

Housing data released on August 23, 2018, shows a continuing slowdown in the housing market. New Home Sales fell -1.7% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 627,000.  Analysts were expecting a rate of 649,000. But readers of the Market Trends Journal already knew this was coming and why. June was revised 7,000 […]

UUP chart which tracks the US dollar. UUP has been rising since February 2018.

President Trump Jumps Into The Currency Wars

08/20/2018

President Trump launched himself into the ongoing currency wars today, accusing China of manipulating its currency and the Europeans of manipulating the euro. The problem with Trump’s thinking is that his own economic policies and the waging of economic warfare against the largest economies in the world are contributing to a strong US dollar. Currencies […]

Apple, YouTube (Google), Facebook All Delete Infowars In Coordinated Strike

08/7/2018

Holy cow and OMG. Apple, YouTube (Google), and Facebook all deleted and removed Infowars from their platforms in a coordinated strike. Talk about collusion to attack all at once! This is what I’ve been warning you about folks. The left-leaning big technology oligopolies colluding together to ban Republican leaning voices. I’m recommending everyone gets out […]

Flag of China's Communist Party

Trader Alert! China Spending Billions To Influence US Government and Economy

08/7/2018

Rumors are circulating that China is spending hundreds of millions of dollars putting together a massive lobbying group in Washington DC to preserve the $550 billion a year trade deficit scheme against the American worker. China is pulling out all the stops and even hiring former US officials that have inside information about how the […]