Forget expensive stock trading seminars, this free lesson will help you better time explosive intra-day price moves.
Stocks will base or go sideways, then break either up or down. This makes the basing pattern or the consolidation pattern a great money making pattern.
On May 1, 2013, I made a killing in JRCC using the basing pattern. A basing pattern is a sideways move accompanied by a big drop off in volume. The volatility and beta on the stock drops below its average as the stock appears to flat-line with little interest from traders.
Notice the basing pattern that is highlighted in blue on the chart above. Notice how the volume dropped off as the price chopped out and went sideways. That’s a classic basing or consolidation pattern that when you see it, you should move on the stock if a good catalyst is present.
Learn Stock Trading With Relative Strength
A sideways consolidation or basing pattern in the larger market is a great time to measure the relative strength of a stock you might be stalking.
Notice that when you compare JRCC to SPY, while SPY (S&P 500) was consolidating, JRCC has a clear upward bias to it while SPY is basing sideways. Think about what this means. It tells you that while bulls and bears have battled to a stalemate in the larger market, the bulls are clearly winning the battle in JRCC. It means that a huge move could be coming in JRCC because, all else being equal, if there is this much buying in JRCC when there are not a lot of buyers in the larger market, when the buying does come back to the larger market, JRCC could explode higher. That’s exactly what happened.
You can see on the far left of the chart above, as SPY went lower, JRCC was basing. This is a positive divergence between JRCC and SPY. Then, later on this chart when SPY started moving up, JRCC exploded higher.
The important lesson here is that stocks will eventually break either up or down out of a basing pattern. Your job then is to accurately predict which way the stock will break out of the basing pattern. If a positive divergence exists between the stock you are trading and the broader market (SPY), you can place your bet that the stock you are stalking will break to the upside once SPY breaks out of its basing pattern.
Frequently Asked Questions about Stock Trading Seminar: Basing Patterns
What is a consolidation pattern?
A consolidation pattern, also called a base, is a sideways price action on the chart with lower volatility and a small range between swing move highs and swing move lows.
Periods of consolidation end with a breakout either to the upside or downside which is why traders often enter on consolidation patterns.
The psychology behind the consolidation pattern is usually indecision as neither Bulls nor Bears have control.
ZacksInvestmentNews posted the great video below called Screening for Consolidation Patterns.
ExacTrades posted the excellent video below called Stock Chart Patterns: How to Trade Consolidation Stock Patterns.
What is a basing pattern?
A basing pattern is a sideways movement on a chart characterized by a very tight trading range.
The terms consolidation pattern and basing pattern mostly mean the same thing with the basing pattern referring more to a horizontal sideways price action, while the term consolidation pattern includes wider range patterns like the Symmetrical Triangle pattern.
The basing pattern is sometimes referred to as flat-lining.
The psychology behind the basing pattern is indecision. This is why the volume typically drops off when a stock is in a basing pattern.
Traders like to enter on basing patterns because, like consolidation patterns, they end in either breakouts to the upside or downside.
MorpheusTrading posted the excellent video below on basing patterns called How To Find Breakout Setups.
Latest posts by Lance Jepsen
- How Much Has the Federal Reserve Reduced Its Balance Sheet - November 19, 2017
- Saturday Market Prediction Show For Week of November 20 2017 - November 18, 2017
- PowerShares Global Clean Energy ETF Exploding Large Players Volume - November 17, 2017