Ron Paul continues to forecast a collapse of the US economy even in light of the election of President Trump.
Ron Paul said that Federal Reserve policy has set the country up for economic collapse, and though the central bank has been very creative in making the impossible work, and putting off financial (Read More….)
The weekly Saturday night stock market prediction show attempts to predict market direction for the week ahead by looking at a variety of technical and fundamental indicators.
The top catalysts and stock picks posted on the GuerillaStockTrading blog are reviewed on the show.
This week’s show features commentary on the so-called “Trump Bump” and what (Read More….)
Whether we are talking about individual stocks, the stock market, or the economy, when you’re wrong just admit it and then move on. The goal is to make money, not to be right 100% of the time so you can stroke your ego.
AM TV and Peter Schiff predicted that the Federal Reserve could not (Read More….)
I predict that a Trump win means down for the economy at first, then upward as the US consumer strengthens from domestic job growth.
The down first move in the economy will come from inefficiencies caused by forcing multinational corporations to bring domestic production facilities back to the US or face steep tariffs.
Several traders (Read More….)
Increases in government regulation, taxes, environmental regulations, and ObamaCare on businesses, shifted the aggregate supply (AS) curve inward and thus reduced aggregate demand (AD).
With the explosion higher in the cost of doing business, businesses hired fewer workers. In fact, many small businesses reduced the size of their workforce in response to ObamaCare. Less (Read More….)
The prospect of a Federal Reserve rate hike is driving up the US dollar. The rising US dollar has a significant impact on the US economy and thus stock market. It’s important that traders understand the implications of a rising US dollar from a macroeconomic perspective.
Rising US interest rates mean that a lot of (Read More….)
Do you remember when the WSJ, CNN, CNBC, NBC, ABC, CBS, Bloomberg, Forbes, and Reuters ran stories at the start of the year about how no one even knows who was advising Trump on economic matters? They even went as far to say that Trump had no support of any economists.
That never sat right (Read More….)
Temporary holiday season hiring in the US is stronger this year than in previous years. Employers having a higher demand for temp workers for the holiday season is a bullish signal for the US economy.
The WSJ writes…
“Five years ago we could find a lot of professional-level people that didn’t have a job,” (Read More….)
Bill and Hillary Clinton’s NAFTA helped Mexico at the expense of US workers.
Economists against NAFTA in the 1990s warned everyone that all Mexico had to do was to devalue their currency to gain comparative advantage over the US for just about every product produced. The chart below shows Mexico has been devaluing their (Read More….)
We have enough data to say that inflation is finally trending higher.
In case you are wondering why inflation moving higher is important, please review this.
The less volatile sticky CPI confirms the uptrend.
ObamaCare has exploded the cost of medical care higher.
Medical care commodities, which are prescription and (Read More….)
Illegal immigration negatively impacts the hourly wage of US citizens. Illegal immigrants are pouring across the Mexico border, and we have no way of counting them but what we can do is track legal immigration from Mexico then double the number for a fuzzy-math estimate.
With legal immigration and an impenetrable border, economists working (Read More….)
As wages rise, more and more business owners are turning to machines instead of human labor. President Obama and Democrats have spent the last 8 years replacing high-paying jobs in the manufacturing sector with low-paying jobs in the services and health care sectors. But in all fairness, both Republicans and Democrats are to blame for (Read More….)
Mainstream media groups (yes that includes Fox New) are putting a positive spin on economic reports on the US economy. This positive spin provides support for Hillary Clinton, and Democrats claim that they’ve managed the economy so well. As traders, you have to be aware that this is going on so that you minimize losses (Read More….)
The US national debt just broke above $19.5 trillion. Both Democrats and Republicans are to blame, but it is important to note that President Obama and Democrats increased the national debt more than all President’s before combined.
George Bush exploded the national debt by $3 trillion in response to an imploding economy and 911. (Read More….)
Foreign countries are dumping US debt at an alarming pace. Foreigners dumped $54.2 billion in US Treasury bonds in just the last four weeks.
Since the start of 2016, foreign countries have sold more than $177.7 billion in US Treasury bonds, bringing the total to $2.827 trillion, the lowest amount of Treasuries held by (Read More….)
The overwhelming number of financial reports on the economy last week showed that the U.S. economy is continuing to slow.
The Federal Reserve has put markets on notice that they will be hiking rates by the end of the year. The Fed is not expected to hike rates next week at their September 21, 2016, (Read More….)
Both the Fed and Wall Street analysts are forecasting a 3% GDP growth rate for Q3. After yesterday’s release of many economic reports, I would put the GDP growth rate for Q3 at 1.5% at most. Let’s look at yesterday’s economic releases on the charts.
The NY Empire manufacturing index came in at -2%. That (Read More….)
Fed’s Eric Rosengren was clear in his speech early Friday that rates need to be raised. Mr. Rosengren said that if we don’t raise rates soon, we could crash the economy. Mr. Rosengren said, “A failure to continue on the path of gradual removal of accommodation could shorten, rather than lengthen, the duration of this (Read More….)
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index dropped to 51.4 percent in August of 2016, well below market expectations of 55. It is the lowest reading since February of 2010 as activity, employment, and new orders all slowed.
Here’s the real terrifying part. The last two times that the ISM fell below 52 percent, it was (Read More….)