Recent Winners


+180%
PLX
Alert Price: $0.36
High Price: $1.01
Results: 180% in 40 Days
+157%
OREX
Alert Price: $1.81
High Price: $4.65
Results: 157% in 36 Days
+87%
ARIA
Alert Price: $12.72
High Price: $23.75
Results: 87% in 20 Days
+58%
XGTI
Alert Price: $1.47
High Price: $2.32
Results: 58% in 29 Days
+36%
CYNO
Alert Price: $48.25
High Price: $65.90
Results: 36% in 28 Days
+32%
EBS
Alert Price: $27.22
High Price: $35.88
Results: 32% in 6 Days
+27%
ICHR
Alert Price: $13.40
High Price: $17.04
Results: 27% in 22 Days
+23%
CNAT
Alert Price: $4.43
High Price: $5.45
Results: 23% in 3 Days
+23%
PEIX
Alert Price: $8.30
High Price: $10.25
Results: 23% in 12 Days
+21%
KATE
Alert Price: $15.40
High Price: $18.67
Results: 21% in 11 Days
+20%
REPH
Alert Price: $6.89
High Price: $8.25
Results: 20% in 11 Days
+20%
SN
Alert Price: $11.24
High Price: $13.46
Results: 20% in 15 Days
+16%
CX
Alert Price: $7.97
High Price: $9.30
Results: 16% in 10 Days
+16%
ACAD
Alert Price: $32.03
High Price: $37.09
Results: 16% in 26 Days
+15%
PVG
Alert Price: $7.17
High Price: $8.24
Results: 15% in 6 Days
+12%
OCLR
Alert Price: $8.49
High Price: $9.55
Results: 12% in 7 Days
+12%
ACET
Alert Price: $19.50
High Price: $21.93
Results: 12% in 26 Days
+12%
COW
Alert Price: $20.00
High Price: $22.42
Results: 12% in 26 Days
+11%
PLKI
Alert Price: $70.82
High Price: $79
Results: 11% in 5 Days
+10%
HWKN
Alert Price: $48.15
High Price: $52.90
Results: 10% in 14 Days
+9%
LLY
Alert Price: $67.61
High Price: $73.56
Results: 9% in 12 Days

Past results are not indicative of future profits. This table is accurate, though not every trade is represented.

jb2


Top Catalysts For The Week Ending February 24 2017


Exact Sciences = Roth Capital raised to Buy from Neutral and set a price target of $26

Applied Optoelectronics = Announced the immediate availability of 100G QSFP28 10km transceivers based on the 4WDM-10 MSA specification

Mobileye = RBC reiterates an Outperform rating and sets a price target of $57

Bellicum Pharmaceuticals = Positive updates on clinical BP-004 study

Raytheon = gets AED1.29 billion defense deal with UAE Armed Forces

pp250x250

Trading Lessons

Mainstream Financial News

Archives

Next Treasury Secretary To Extend Maturity of Debt?

In a CNBC “Squawk Box” interview of Steven Mnuchin, the next Treasury Secretary, Steve brought up the idea of creating a super-long bond. The debt is so enormous that the only way to deal with it is to extend the payback date when a significant portion of that debt becomes due. Steven Mnuchin told CNBC…

(Read More….)

No Fear – Bonds Point To A Bullish Stock Market

Traders get confused by price action in bonds relative to the stock market because of perma-bear websites like ZeroHedge. Folks, the most reliable signal for how bonds impact the stock market is very simple.

Look At Bond Prices

Your primary research into bonds should always start with bond prices first, then yields second. A bond (Read More….)

Don’t Double Down On Wrong Prediction, Just Move On

Whether we are talking about individual stocks, the stock market, or the economy, when you’re wrong just admit it and then move on. The goal is to make money, not to be right 100% of the time so you can stroke your ego.

AM TV and Peter Schiff predicted that the Federal Reserve could not (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of November 21 2016

For the week, the DJIA gained 0.1%, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.6%.

Economic data and Federal Reserve commentary virtually sealed the deal that a rate hike is coming at next month’s monetary policy meeting.

Trump needs to fire Yellen IMO. Trump has pledged a $1 trillion infrastructure spending program to (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of November 7 2016

For the week the S&P 500 fell -1.9%, the DJIA fell -1.5%, and the Nasdaq plunged -2.8%. Last week the VIX shot back above 20 to trade at levels not seen since the June Brexit vote. The S&P extended its longest losing streak since 1980 with its ninth consecutive decline on Friday.

Oil was (Read More….)

What Further Evidence the Fed Needs To Hike In December 2016

The Federal Reserve held short-term interest rates steady as traders expected. In the Fed’s postmeeting policy statement, it said it only needed “some further evidence” of economic progress before moving forward with a rate hike.

What exactly is the further evidence that the Fed needs? To answer that, you have to know about what (Read More….)

Macroeconomics of Rising Interest Rates

The prospect of a Federal Reserve rate hike is driving up the US dollar. The rising US dollar has a significant impact on the US economy and thus stock market. It’s important that traders understand the implications of a rising US dollar from a macroeconomic perspective.

Rising US interest rates mean that a lot of (Read More….)

Question On Dividend Paying Income Fund

Albert writes, “Hi Lance; you had another great show tonight. A couple of questions if you don’t mind. First is, I read on your website that you think STM might be a good long term trade. Aside from margin issues (if one doesn’t buy on margin), do you think it’s still a good long-term stock (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of October 31 2016

For the week the S&P 500 fell -0.7%, the DJIA was flat closing up +0.1%, and the Nasdaq dropped -1.3%. On Thursday morning of last week, I closed out all my active swing trading positions and have moved into an income fund that pays a monthly dividend and yields over 5% per year. For me, (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of October 24 2016

For the week the S&P 500 added 0.4%, the DJIA was flat, and the Nasdaq gained 0.8%.

It’s starting to look like the stock market is not going to crash this year. Back in July, I said I thought the market was going to crash and that the greatest probability of that crash was during (Read More….)

Here Comes Inflation FINALLY! Traders Focus On Earnings

We have enough data to say that inflation is finally trending higher.

In case you are wondering why inflation moving higher is important, please review this.

The less volatile sticky CPI confirms the uptrend.

ObamaCare has exploded the cost of medical care higher.

Medical care commodities, which are prescription and (Read More….)

The Aggregate Supply-Aggregate Demand Model

Looking at the aggregate supply (AS), aggregate demand (AD) model, we can see where the US economy is currently at in the economic cycle. It is critical that traders and investors understand where we are at in the business cycle so as to be in on the right side of the trade. Timing Bull/Bear cycles (Read More….)

The Chart That Shows Why The S&P Is Very Sensitive To Rate Hikes

The S&P is more sensitive to rate hikes than at any time in US history because dividends and buybacks are at their highest levels ever.

Corporate dividends and buybacks of large US corporations are expected to exceed $1 trillion for the first time in US history.

Corporations are having to pay investors to hold (Read More….)

Rising Wages Are What Will Cause The Next Recession

We all love rising wages, but it is rising wages that will cause the next recession and Bear market.

Below is a chart of labor costs (red) versus corporate profits (blue).

A clear pattern emerges from the chart above. Profits rise after a recession as labor costs fall. When the labor market reaches (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of October 3 2016

For the week the DJIA gained 0.3%, the S&P 500 closed up 0.2%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.1%.

The German government had ruled out any state assistance for Deutsche Bank which was facing a reported $14B demand from the DOJ to settle and MBS probe. Now we know why. Germany must have already been (Read More….)

Terrifying US Pension Fund Charts

Pension funds in the US could be close to a collapse. There is an estimated $1.9 trillion shortfall in U.S. state and local pension funds because of low-interest rates and a sideways US stock market. Even stocks falling overseas is a problem for pension funds.

Credit Suisse published the chilling chart below on the funding (Read More….)

With So Much Debt In the US Economy, Is It Even Possible To Grow Faster?

The US national debt just broke above $19.5 trillion. Both Democrats and Republicans are to blame, but it is important to note that President Obama and Democrats increased the national debt more than all President’s before combined.

George Bush exploded the national debt by $3 trillion in response to an imploding economy and 911. (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of September 26 2016

On Wednesday, September 21, 2016, the FOMC left rates unchanged, and the vote was 7-3, with three dissents for a hike (George, Mester, Rosengren). Last week, the S&P 500 gained +1.2%, the DJIA added +0.8%, and the Nasdaq was +1.2% higher.

There is an increased probability of a rate hike in November or December which (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast Show For Week of September 19 2016

The overwhelming number of financial reports on the economy last week showed that the U.S. economy is continuing to slow.

The Federal Reserve has put markets on notice that they will be hiking rates by the end of the year. The Fed is not expected to hike rates next week at their September 21, 2016, (Read More….)

Government Spending and the Crowding Out Effect

The velocity of money has hit the lowest level ever recorded as I wrote about here. I believe the crowding out effect is at least partially to blame for the slowdown in the velocity of money.

President Obama has run the national debt up to nearly $20 trillion, more than all President’s before him combined. (Read More….)

Oil and Gas Company Default Rates Surge Higher

Watch out for investing in high yield corporate debt. U.S. default rates are surging higher and breaking away from the rest of the world.

The U.S. has more oil and gas firms that are financed by the high yield bond market than anywhere else on the planet. The S&P calls these oil and gas (Read More….)

Traders Remember David Hume, It’s Not All Yellen

I’ve been asking traders what causes low-interest rates. The consensus is that the Federal Reserve is what causes low-interest rates. That is not entirely true and believing that could be harmful to your trading account.

Some 250 years ago, David Hume was the very first economist to explain what causes low-interest rates.

The three things (Read More….)

Donald Trump Correct To Criticize Federal Reserve

Donald Trump has correctly criticized the Federal Reserve for keeping interest rates low for Democrats. Yellen’s allegiance to Democrats is something I’ve been talking about for more than a year now.

Janet Yellen herself is a Democrat who was appointed by Obama. Remember how Yellen was questioned about why she was meeting with Democrats more (Read More….)