A tsunami retail store closings is headed our way courtesy of the weak US economy and pathetic 2% GDP growth. I thought Democrats did such a good job with the economy… NOT!
The CEO of EBAY just got done saying on CNBC, “I’m not sure all retailers will make it to the next holiday season.”
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A weekly Saturday financial show that attempts to predict market direction for the week ahead by looking at a variety of fundamental and technical charts. This week’s (Read More….)
For the week, the DJIA gained 0.1%, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.6%.
Economic data and Federal Reserve commentary virtually sealed the deal that a rate hike is coming at next month’s monetary policy meeting.
Trump needs to fire Yellen IMO. Trump has pledged a $1 trillion infrastructure spending program to (Read More….)
We have enough data to say that inflation is finally trending higher.
In case you are wondering why inflation moving higher is important, please review this.
The less volatile sticky CPI confirms the uptrend.
ObamaCare has exploded the cost of medical care higher.
Medical care commodities, which are prescription and (Read More….)
I’ve been asking traders what causes low-interest rates. The consensus is that the Federal Reserve is what causes low-interest rates. That is not entirely true and believing that could be harmful to your trading account.
Some 250 years ago, David Hume was the very first economist to explain what causes low-interest rates.
The three things (Read More….)
Donald Trump has correctly criticized the Federal Reserve for keeping interest rates low for Democrats. Yellen’s allegiance to Democrats is something I’ve been talking about for more than a year now.
Janet Yellen herself is a Democrat who was appointed by Obama. Remember how Yellen was questioned about why she was meeting with Democrats more (Read More….)
Falling profit margins typically precede a recession. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the latest profit margin numbers that clearly point to an oncoming recession.
Notice how the last two recessions (shaded areas) came within six months of a -20% change from a year ago (red line). The only thing that is (Read More….)
Deutsche Bank may be on the verge of collapse. Last week Deutsche Bank reported Q2 2016 earnings of 20 million euros which is a 98% drop in earnings year-over-year.
In 2015, Deutsche Bank announced its first full year of loss since the 2008 recession.
Deutsche Bank’s stock is down -60% over the last year (Read More….)
The significant negative impact on US markets from Brexit is the rising US dollar. It is the rising dollar which will ultimately cause a stock market crash. Traders from around the world are selling out of the British Pound and the Euro, and buying safer US dollars.
The rising US dollar is harmful to (Read More….)
Janet Yellen said in testimony before the Senate Banking Committee that the US economy faces considerable uncertainty from slower domestic activity. That is a stunning reversal from last month when Yellen was confident the US economy was improving. Like I wrote here, the Employment Situation report changed everything.
It looks like the slowdown in manufacturing, (Read More….)
The Federal Reserve may not have their finger on the pulse of the economy as much as most people think.
For weeks now, the Fed has been making hawkish comments about how a rate hike was likely in the next few months. Now, after the horrible jobs report, all the hawkish Fed talk looks pretty (Read More….)