Border Adjustment Tax DOA as Retailers and Traders Celebrate Victory

Republicans have officially given up on trying to pass a border adjustment tax to even the playing field with our trading partners. The Retail Industry Leaders Association celebrated the news and said they are now ready to get on-board with the President’s tax reform.

The retail sector, and stock traders, won a significant victory Thursday when the White House and Congressional leaders announced that they have set aside a border adjustment tax that could have raised the cost of imported products by up to 20 percent.

Republican leaders said on Thursday that the proposed border-adjusted tax won’t be part of negotiations on how best to overhaul the U.S. tax code, giving a victory to retailers’ and stock traders that had opposed the measure. Retailers said that a BAT would be passed on to consumers.

For stock traders, this is a big win because 75% of GDP comes from consumer spending at the retail level. A border adjustment tax basically would play out as a consumption tax which would reduce consumer spending. You raise taxes and can do things like a border adjustment tax in a strong economy with runaway inflation where you’re trying to cool off the economy and so fiscal and monetary policy support each other. In a weak economy with flat wages and struggling consumers, you lower taxes and do things that increase consumption. We are in a weak economy and so a border adjustment tax right now would have hurt the economy and thus job growth.

Border Adjustment Tax Impact On Consumers

Some traders told me that if costs of a BAT were passed on to consumers then that would be inflationary and help the Federal Reserve achieve their 2 percent target. The problem with that logic is that what if it didn’t work? I mean it’s only inflationary if someone is willing and able to pay the higher prices caused by a BAT. What if consumption instead contracts as a result of higher prices? If demand contracts then supply contracts and that would work against supply-side economics.

A statement Thursday from House Speaker Paul Ryan, Ways and Means Chairman Kevin Brady, White House economic advisor Gary Cohn, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch said that due to the unknowns associated with the border adjustment tax, they had decided to set this policy aside to be able to advance tax reform.

For stock traders this is a big win as tax reform will lower our capital gains tax and allow us to invest and trade even more. Anything that advances tax reform is a win for traders. We are very close to going into a Bear market unless President Trump’s agenda moves forward IMO.

Larry Kudlow said on CNBC:

BAT was holding things up and we buried that several times and it kept coming back… Small businesses are going to get a tax cut, that was a very important part of the Trump plan. They talked about expensing and will have unprecedented write-offs, this is very important from a cost of capital viewpoint… Repatriation is going to be in here… Unlike health care, on taxes the Trump Administration had its act together and secondly, the Republican party basically agrees with itself.

Pitched as a major revenue source in a Republican-backed tax reform program, the border adjustment tax was touted as a key to returning manufacturing jobs to the U.S. by making imported products less competitive.

Ryan and Brady, who spent over a year championing the border adjustment tax, told Republicans prior to the statement’s release that the concept would no longer be part of tax-legislation negotiations.

Target called the leaders’ joint statement a step ahead for tax reform.

By eliminating the BAT, the way has been cleared for swift action on a middle-class tax cut which will put more money in the wallets of the American taxpayer.

BAT would shift the supply curve inward as demand would drop as prices rise. Supply-side economics seeks to do just the opposite, to push the supply curve outward, not inward. Republicans taking BAT out of the tax reform bill is a victory for retailers and the economy.

I’m so happy to hear that Speaker Paul Ryan and Ways and Means Committee chairman Kevin Brady have decided to set the border adjustment tax aside and not include the controversial tax in tax-legislation negotiations. I think we finally have a chance at the first comprehensive tax reform in more than 30 years. However it leaves a question as to how to pay for these tax cuts. The BAT would have raised more than $1 trillion over a decade, according to estimates. A BAT would have helped pay for tax cuts for everybody. The problem though is that with a BAT included in tax-legislation negotiations, there’s no way tax-legislation would have passed. It was a catch 22.

Without BAT revenue, it is going to be more difficult for Republicans to keep the tax cuts permanent and to produce the kind of tax cuts that President Donald Trump has promised. Under the budget rules that GOP leaders plan to use, any tax-legislation changes that increase the deficit can only be temporary.

I think that the Federal Reserve should sell-off its balance sheet and use that money to send to the Treasury to pay for tax cuts. Have the Federal Reserve do something that’s good for the American people and main-street instead of always focusing on what’s good for Wall Street. We could corner the debt on the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve instead of the Federal Reserve spending our tax dollars and then leaving the debt cornered with the public. I’m just throwing that idea out there. That’s what we have to do. We need to come up with creative and alternative ways of paying for big permanent tax cuts.

Congressional tax writers will need to consider multiple ways of raising revenue to pay for tax cuts from various businesses by closing loopholes.

Here’s an idea. Let’s push NASA to advance the space-mining industry and then any proceeds gained from NASA mining an asteroid would go to pay for tax cuts. Just one asteroid mined could be worth trillions of dollars in tax cuts.

If you have any creative ideas for how to pay for a big permanent tax cut, leave your comments below.

China is an Enemy of the United States Dummies

How stupid do you have to be to think that China is a friend of the United States? South Korea and the U.S. were carrying out their usual joint military exercises in the region and so North Korea violated international law and launched four ballistic missiles on Monday in response.

North Korea just figured out how to launch a ballistic missile within the last year or so, something the US figured out how to do in May of 1957. North Korea thinks it’s a big tough guy on the block now and so they are going to launch ballistic missiles every chance they get.

Being the technologically superior country on the entire plant we have deployed the first elements of our advanced Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-missile system in South Korea. This missile defense system will protect both South Korea and Japan.

So what does China do? Chinese authorities have closed nearly two dozen retail stores of South Korea’s Lotte Group, which approved a land swap with the military last week to allow it to install the anti-missile system. The Chinese extort businesses inside China because that’s what communists do. If China doesn’t like something that your government does, China will close down all your businesses inside its country.

Why would any US business owner go to China to manufacture things? Are you stupid? China is going to steal your IP, tooling molds, designs, and they will produce your product themselves and sell it everywhere around the planet for cheaper than you do (using slave labor and government subsidies), and what are you going to do about it? Even if you have the money to file with the WTO, get in line buddy, it could be years before the WTO gets around to looking at your complaint and by then, you’ll be out of business and dirt broke.

But China didn’t stop there. China said the US and South Korea should stop doing military drills and stop installing the THAAD anti-missile system in South Korea. Stop doing military drills? Folks, China is no friend of the US and stupid business owners in this country that keep taking their manufacturing to China in the name of profits deserve to be ripped off.

China has risen to power off the backs of American workers, stealing tens-of-millions of our manufacturing jobs. Democrat and Republican establishment globalists said China was going to love us because we helped them out and have given them so much business. China doesn’t appreciate the US. China stole our jobs and manufacturing plants illegally and that’s given them a lot of money to build up their military and to challenge the US every chance they get. China has always been in an economic war with the US and much of the developed world. Want the proof? Check out the documentary by esteemed economist Peter Navarro, now President Trump economic advisor.

I heard Larry Kudlow call economist Peter Navarro a “nut job” on CNBC. This is the same Larry Kudlow who wrote so brilliantly in the National Review in 2007:

The recession debate is over. It’s not gonna happen. Time to move on…. The Bush boom is alive and well. It’s finishing up its sixth splendid year with many more years to come.

Or my personal favorite from February 2000 when Larry Kudlow, then CNBC host, said:

This correction will run its course until the middle of the year. Then things will pick up again, because not even Greenspan can stop the Internet economy.

Americans Are Waking Up But We Still Need To Educate

Americans are waking up to the real threat that China is and we know that because President Trump won the election. However, I talk to people who are so ignorant about China that they say things like, “We don’t need to have a trade war with China.” Reality check: China has been waging economic warfare against the United States since it was accepted into the WTO in 2001. “We” are not waging any war but are attempting to defend ourselves against China before our entire economy is destroyed forever. Wake up.

Folks, we have lost so many jobs to China and our trade deficit is so deep, as a country we may not come out of this. China’s money already influences how mainstream media groups in the US report the news as well as who gets elected.

China saw the weakness in capitalism which is the unbridled pursuit of money, and they manipulated the US Chamber of Commerce into actually pitching to business owners that outsourcing jobs to China was a good thing because it would save on labor costs and help them make even more money. China exploited capitalism to their own advantage. Now, after being in nearly a decade long slump in the economy, these same business owners are scratching their heads wondering where the US consumers are and why the economy is still in a slump. When you move 500,000 manufacturing plants to China along with millions of jobs over a 15 year period so that the US no longer has good paying manufacturing sector jobs, what do you think is ultimately going to happen? You have a lower labor participation rate and a consumer with less purchasing power. This isn’t rocket science folks and globalist sympathizers like Larry Kudlow and most of the guests on CNBC can go shove it where the sun doesn’t shine.

Alex Jones of InfoWars points out how China is buying up media groups in the US and is expanding their influence over how our news is reported and even our movies:

What China could be doing is promoting the anti-Russian rhetoric in the mainstream media so that it can forge a better relationship with Russia against the US. In reality, China is far more an enemy of the US than Russia.

What China has already done, and is currently doing, is bad for the US economy and stock market. China is forcing us to respond to the economic warfare they are waging against us as well as their attempts to influence the mainstream media in this country. Our response to the Chinese is going to create stock market volatility and perhaps even a large market crash as the President attempts to wrestle back control of our country from the Chinese.