Your answer should have nothing to do with politics and if you voted for Trump or not. In order to preserve your market capital, is it prudent to view Trump as a potential Black Swan for the stock market?
I’m curious to see how much Trump is impacting stock trader and investor psychology.
The weekly Saturday night stock market prediction show attempts to predict market direction for the week ahead by looking at a variety of technical and fundamental indicators.
The top catalysts and stock picks posted on the GuerillaStockTrading blog are reviewed on the show.
This week’s show features commentary on the so-called “Trump Bump” and what (Read More….)
The Santa Claus Rally is the upward move in the price of stocks that often occurs in the week between Christmas and New Year’s Day. There are several reasons that explain the Santa Claus Rally, including tax considerations, and people investing their Christmas bonuses.
The seasonal Santa Claus Rally started early this year because of (Read More….)
A weekly Saturday night financial show that attempts to predict market direction for the week ahead by looking at a variety of technical and fundamental indicators. This week’s show includes commentary on the Fed’s first and only rate hike in 2016, Eli Lilly’s long-acting Basal Insulin that’s now available in the US, takeover rumors circulating (Read More….)
With the stock market hitting all-time highs, everybody wants to know if we are in a giant bubble.
You can’t trade and make money if you’re not in the market. If the fear that we are in a bubble is keeping you out, then you’re not making money.
The honey badger doesn’t care. The honey (Read More….)
A weekly Saturday night show that attempts to predict market direction for the week ahead by looking at a variety of technical and fundamental indicators.
This week’s show features Trump’s comments about bringing down drug prices, the incredible trial results from Bellicum Pharmaceuticals that cured all 35 children in the trial, takeover rumors surrounding (Read More….)
The high yield debt chart is very troubling IMO. If we overlay the S&P 500 and the high yield debt chart, a huge bearish divergence is revealed. Check out this chart with the red line being the S&P 500 and the purple line being high yield debt.
High yield debt (purple) is nowhere near (Read More….)
Black Friday sales hit an all-time high record of $3.34 billion or 21.6% growth year-over-year. Mobile accounted for $1.2 billion of those sales, a 33% increase from the previous year. TechCrunch writes…
Combined with yesterday’s $1.93 in online sales on Thanksgiving, the two days are expected to close out at nearly $5 billion in sales. (Read More….)
Traders get confused by price action in bonds relative to the stock market because of perma-bear websites like ZeroHedge. Folks, the most reliable signal for how bonds impact the stock market is very simple.
Look At Bond Prices
Your primary research into bonds should always start with bond prices first, then yields second. A bond (Read More….)
We know what Trump is bringing to the globalists brawl that has already begun with shots like China threatening a trade war against the US. Globalists are not going just to roll over quietly for a Trump Administration.
Lisa Haven thinks that globalists could crash the US economy in response to Trump’s win. Lisa thinks (Read More….)
I’m of the belief that one reason stock markets smashed all-time high records this week is from the massive short covering going on that led up to the Presidential election on November 8, 2016.
You had billionaires like Warren Buffett and Mark Cuban suggesting that they took short positions in case of a Trump win. (Read More….)
When I expressed caution to a trader last week and that the market exists to ruin the greatest number of amateur traders at any given time, the trader replied I don’t believe that. Another trader I expressed caution to about this market told me I have to just ride the wave higher.
Folks, your goal (Read More….)
Whether we are talking about individual stocks, the stock market, or the economy, when you’re wrong just admit it and then move on. The goal is to make money, not to be right 100% of the time so you can stroke your ego.
AM TV and Peter Schiff predicted that the Federal Reserve could not (Read More….)
For the week, the DJIA gained 0.1%, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.6%.
Economic data and Federal Reserve commentary virtually sealed the deal that a rate hike is coming at next month’s monetary policy meeting.
Trump needs to fire Yellen IMO. Trump has pledged a $1 trillion infrastructure spending program to (Read More….)
Washington D.C., Nov. 15, 2016 — The Securities and Exchange Commission today voted to approve a national market system (NMS) plan to create a single, comprehensive database known as the consolidated audit trail (CAT) that will enable regulators to more efficiently and thoroughly track all trading activity in the U.S. equity and options markets.
For the week the S&P 500 fell -1.9%, the DJIA fell -1.5%, and the Nasdaq plunged -2.8%. Last week the VIX shot back above 20 to trade at levels not seen since the June Brexit vote. The S&P extended its longest losing streak since 1980 with its ninth consecutive decline on Friday.
Oil was (Read More….)
The prospect of a Federal Reserve rate hike is driving up the US dollar. The rising US dollar has a significant impact on the US economy and thus stock market. It’s important that traders understand the implications of a rising US dollar from a macroeconomic perspective.
Rising US interest rates mean that a lot of (Read More….)
Do you remember when the WSJ, CNN, CNBC, NBC, ABC, CBS, Bloomberg, Forbes, and Reuters ran stories at the start of the year about how no one even knows who was advising Trump on economic matters? They even went as far to say that Trump had no support of any economists.
That never sat right (Read More….)
For the week the S&P 500 fell -0.7%, the DJIA was flat closing up +0.1%, and the Nasdaq dropped -1.3%. On Thursday morning of last week, I closed out all my active swing trading positions and have moved into an income fund that pays a monthly dividend and yields over 5% per year. For me, (Read More….)
Most government revenue comes from the taxation of transactions and labor. Taxes impact both the supply and demand curves. Taxes cause a buyer to pay more for something and suppliers to receive less. The loss of value for both buyers and sellers is called the deadweight loss of taxation. Taxation has an enormous impact on (Read More….)
We have enough data to say that inflation is finally trending higher.
In case you are wondering why inflation moving higher is important, please review this.
The less volatile sticky CPI confirms the uptrend.
ObamaCare has exploded the cost of medical care higher.
Medical care commodities, which are prescription and (Read More….)