Recent Winners


+180%
PLX
Alert Price: $0.36
High Price: $1.01
Results: 180% in 40 Days
+157%
OREX
Alert Price: $1.81
High Price: $4.65
Results: 157% in 36 Days
+91%
GBT
Alert Price: $15.85
High Price: $30
Results: 91% in 41 Days
+87%
ARIA
Alert Price: $12.72
High Price: $23.75
Results: 87% in 20 Days
+58%
XGTI
Alert Price: $1.47
High Price: $2.32
Results: 58% in 29 Days
+55%
EXAS
Alert Price: $15.10
High Price: $23.40
Results: 55% in 37 Days
+38%
EDIT
Alert Price: $18.24
High Price: $25.09
Results: 38% in 55 Days
+36%
CYNO
Alert Price: $48.25
High Price: $65.90
Results: 36% in 28 Days
+32%
EBS
Alert Price: $27.22
High Price: $35.88
Results: 32% in 6 Days
+27%
ICHR
Alert Price: $13.40
High Price: $17.04
Results: 27% in 22 Days
+23%
CNAT
Alert Price: $4.43
High Price: $5.45
Results: 23% in 3 Days
+23%
PEIX
Alert Price: $8.30
High Price: $10.25
Results: 23% in 12 Days
+21%
KATE
Alert Price: $15.40
High Price: $18.67
Results: 21% in 11 Days
+20%
REPH
Alert Price: $6.89
High Price: $8.25
Results: 20% in 11 Days
+20%
SN
Alert Price: $11.24
High Price: $13.46
Results: 20% in 15 Days
+16%
CX
Alert Price: $7.97
High Price: $9.30
Results: 16% in 10 Days
+16%
ACAD
Alert Price: $32.03
High Price: $37.09
Results: 16% in 26 Days
+15%
PVG
Alert Price: $7.17
High Price: $8.24
Results: 15% in 6 Days
+12%
OCLR
Alert Price: $8.49
High Price: $9.55
Results: 12% in 7 Days
+12%
ACET
Alert Price: $19.50
High Price: $21.93
Results: 12% in 26 Days
+12%
COW
Alert Price: $20.00
High Price: $22.42
Results: 12% in 26 Days
+11%
PLKI
Alert Price: $70.82
High Price: $79
Results: 11% in 5 Days
+10%
HWKN
Alert Price: $48.15
High Price: $52.90
Results: 10% in 14 Days
+9%
LLY
Alert Price: $67.61
High Price: $73.56
Results: 9% in 12 Days

Past results are not indicative of future profits. This table is accurate, though not every trade is represented.

pp250x250

Trading Lessons

Mainstream Financial News

Archives

Stock Market at All time Highs! Are We In a Giant BUBBLE?

With the stock market hitting all-time highs, everybody wants to know if we are in a giant bubble.

You can’t trade and make money if you’re not in the market. If the fear that we are in a bubble is keeping you out, then you’re not making money.

The honey badger doesn’t care. The honey (Read More….)

What The Trump Win Means For Multinational Corporations

I predict that a Trump win means down for the economy at first, then upward as the US consumer strengthens from domestic job growth.

The down first move in the economy will come from inefficiencies caused by forcing multinational corporations to bring domestic production facilities back to the US or face steep tariffs.

Several traders (Read More….)

Here Comes Supply-Side Economics and the Laffer Curve

Increases in government regulation, taxes, environmental regulations, and ObamaCare on businesses, shifted the aggregate supply (AS) curve inward and thus reduced aggregate demand (AD).

With the explosion higher in the cost of doing business, businesses hired fewer workers. In fact, many small businesses reduced the size of their workforce in response to ObamaCare. Less (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of November 7 2016

For the week the S&P 500 fell -1.9%, the DJIA fell -1.5%, and the Nasdaq plunged -2.8%. Last week the VIX shot back above 20 to trade at levels not seen since the June Brexit vote. The S&P extended its longest losing streak since 1980 with its ninth consecutive decline on Friday.

Oil was (Read More….)

What Further Evidence the Fed Needs To Hike In December 2016

The Federal Reserve held short-term interest rates steady as traders expected. In the Fed’s postmeeting policy statement, it said it only needed “some further evidence” of economic progress before moving forward with a rate hike.

What exactly is the further evidence that the Fed needs? To answer that, you have to know about what (Read More….)

Frictional Unemployment and The Employment Situation Report

As traders, we track the monthly Employment Situation report closely. The market often does a short-term move on the first Friday of every month when the Employment Situation report for the previous month is released. Do you understand what the Employment report is showing? I bet many traders do not. As traders, we have to (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of October 31 2016

For the week the S&P 500 fell -0.7%, the DJIA was flat closing up +0.1%, and the Nasdaq dropped -1.3%. On Thursday morning of last week, I closed out all my active swing trading positions and have moved into an income fund that pays a monthly dividend and yields over 5% per year. For me, (Read More….)

Macroeconomics Driving Over 75% Of Market Direction

We have been focusing a lot on macroeconomics over the past few months because global stock markets are increasingly driven by macroeconomic factors. Citi Research division did an excellent graph on how macroeconomics is increasingly driving market direction. In fact, more than 75% of market action can be explained by macroeconomic decisions by the (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of October 24 2016

For the week the S&P 500 added 0.4%, the DJIA was flat, and the Nasdaq gained 0.8%.

It’s starting to look like the stock market is not going to crash this year. Back in July, I said I thought the market was going to crash and that the greatest probability of that crash was during (Read More….)

The Aggregate Supply-Aggregate Demand Model

Looking at the aggregate supply (AS), aggregate demand (AD) model, we can see where the US economy is currently at in the economic cycle. It is critical that traders and investors understand where we are at in the business cycle so as to be in on the right side of the trade. Timing Bull/Bear cycles (Read More….)

Stock Market Forecast For Week of October 17 2016

For the week, the S&P 500 lost -1%, the DJIA fell -0.6%, and the Nasdaq dropped -1.5%. Last week, preannouncements from Honeywell, Dover, Ericsson, and Fortinet scared traders, along with a disappointing Q3 report from Alcoa. HP announced a cut of 3,000 to 4,000 jobs across all divisions because of challenging market conditions.

Friday’s solid (Read More….)

Illegal Immigration and Job Wage Stagnation In the US

Illegal immigration negatively impacts the hourly wage of US citizens. Illegal immigrants are pouring across the Mexico border, and we have no way of counting them but what we can do is track legal immigration from Mexico then double the number for a fuzzy-math estimate.

With legal immigration and an impenetrable border, economists working (Read More….)

Rising Wages and Rise of the Machines

As wages rise, more and more business owners are turning to machines instead of human labor. President Obama and Democrats have spent the last 8 years replacing high-paying jobs in the manufacturing sector with low-paying jobs in the services and health care sectors. But in all fairness, both Republicans and Democrats are to blame for (Read More….)

Rising Wages Are What Will Cause The Next Recession

We all love rising wages, but it is rising wages that will cause the next recession and Bear market.

Below is a chart of labor costs (red) versus corporate profits (blue).

A clear pattern emerges from the chart above. Profits rise after a recession as labor costs fall. When the labor market reaches (Read More….)

Terrifying US Pension Fund Charts

Pension funds in the US could be close to a collapse. There is an estimated $1.9 trillion shortfall in U.S. state and local pension funds because of low-interest rates and a sideways US stock market. Even stocks falling overseas is a problem for pension funds.

Credit Suisse published the chilling chart below on the funding (Read More….)

ObamaCare Lie Costing Americans Everything

The ObamaCare lie that health care premiums would fall for hard working Americans is so insidious, I fully expect Democrats and Clinton to lose to Trump in November.

Here is Obama lying to the American people about how ObamaCare would lower working people’s health care premiums:

If you haven’t already heard from your employer, (Read More….)

Massive Bubble Forming In Housing: A Filthy Repeat

The New Home Sales report released on July 26, 2016, came in at 592,000 new homes sold in June. Foreign buyers flooding into U.S. markets as the global economy slows can’t account for all the new home sales.

Home prices continue to rise so high that they are beyond the 2007 bubble popping level (Read More….)

Powerful Macroeconomics Case For Trumponomics

One of the reasons I began supporting Donald Trump and declared GuerillaStockTrading as an official supporter of the Trump candidacy almost a year ago has to do with economics and ultimately the stock market.

The majority of people who are against Trump are not very smart when it comes to understanding international trade and macroeconomics. (Read More….)

Positive Surprise Economic Data Raises Rate Hike Outlook By Year End

Last week was a big week for trader psychology with multiple economic reports showing the US economy was not in free fall. The Fed Funds Futures market is pricing in a 43.3% probability of a rate hike by December 14, 2016.

Below is a quick breakdown of the better than expected economic reports last week.

(Read More….)

287K Jobs: Something Is Rotten In the US

The non-farm payrolls number came in at an incredible 287,000 jobs created in June. The shocking June non-farm payrolls report has some serious problems though that seem to suggest it could be fake.

I’m betting that the next jobs report in August will show a big downward revision.

Chart Source: Econoday.com

Something seems sort (Read More….)

Bubble On S&P 500 Could Pop From Minimum Wage Hikes

Across the country, the minimum wage is being raised. In 15 cities, across five different states, minimum wage increases went into effect on July 1, 2016.

Minimum wage increases are bad for the economy because they will result in fewer people having jobs.

In August of 2015, I did an economic video lesson on what (Read More….)

Media Manipulation: 2nd Half Stronger Than First

The mainstream financial media is repeating the yearly claim that analysts say the second half of 2016 will be better than the first.

The media is reporting that analysts believe earnings growth will come in for Q3 2016 at +1.1%, and +7.4% for Q4 2016.

This prediction for stronger earnings in the 2nd half of (Read More….)